National League | Gameweek 14

Oct 8, 2022 at 3pm UK

Poolfoot Farm

Wrexham
7 - 5
Barnet

Hayden (9', 60'), O'Connor (35'), Mullin (37', 54' pen.), Young (56'), Palmer (65')

FT(HT: 3-2)

Kabamba (29', 76'), Pritchard (31'), Kanu (51', 85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Wrexham and Barnet, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions

Last Game: Notts County 1-0 Wrexham
Tuesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Barnet

All competitions

Last Game: Barnet 4-3 Maidstone
Tuesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 84.86%. A draw had a probability of 9.8% and a win for Barnet had a probability of 5.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9%) and 4-0 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.3%), while for a Barnet win it was 1-2 (1.71%). The actual scoreline of 7-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
Wrexham	Draw	Barnet
84.86% ( 0)	9.75% ( -0)	5.39% ( -0)

Both teams to score 52.82% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

77.85% (

0.01)

22.15% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

58.9% (

0.01)

41.1% (

-0.01)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

96.39% (

3.61% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

84.41% (

15.59% (

-0)

Barnet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.8%

45.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.91% (

81.09% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Wrexham 84.86%

Barnet 5.39%

Draw 9.75%

Wrexham	Draw	Barnet
3-0 @ 9.96% 2-0 @ 9% ( -0) 4-0 @ 8.28% 3-1 @ 7.91% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.14% ( -0) 4-1 @ 6.57% 5-0 @ 5.5% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.42% ( -0) 5-1 @ 4.37% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.14% 6-0 @ 3.05% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.61% ( 0) 6-1 @ 2.42% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.73% 7-0 @ 1.45% ( 0) 7-1 @ 1.15% ( 0) 6-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 4.21% Total : 84.86%	1-1 @ 4.3% ( -0) 2-2 @ 2.84% 0-0 @ 1.63% Other @ 0.98% Total : 9.75%	1-2 @ 1.71% ( -0) 0-1 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 5.39%