Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 60.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Halifax Town had a probability of 18.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.08%) and 1-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Halifax Town win it was 1-2 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.