National League | Gameweek 18

Nov 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Sands Venue Stadium

Scunthorpe
1 - 3
Wrexham

Rowe (42')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Palmer (21'), Hayden (33'), Mullin (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's National League clash between Scunthorpe United and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Scunthorpe United

All competitions

Last Game: Eastleigh 2-0 Scunthorpe
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Wrexham

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Wrexham 3-0 Oldham
Sunday, November 6 at 12.30pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 53.47%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 24.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.54%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 2-1 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
Scunthorpe United	Draw	Wrexham
24.13% ( -0.51)	22.39% ( 0.06)	53.47% ( 0.45)

Both teams to score 59.49% (

-0.8)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.86% (

-0.79)

40.14% (

0.79)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.49% (

-0.82)

62.51% (

0.82)

Scunthorpe United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.02% (

-0.83)

29.98% (

0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.9% (

-1.01)

66.09% (

1.01)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.95% (

-0.13)

15.04% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.46% (

-0.24)

43.54% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Scunthorpe United 24.13%

Wrexham 53.48%

Draw 22.39%

Scunthorpe United	Draw	Wrexham
2-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.06% Total : 24.13%	1-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.39%	1-2 @ 9.75% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 8.09% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 6.15% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.11% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 2.91% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.42% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.02% Total : 53.48%