National League
Gameweek
18
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-
Jai Rowe
42'
-
Ollie Palmer
21'
-
Aaron Hayden
33'
-
Paul Mullin
70'
Scunthorpe United vs Wrexham - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 53.47%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 24.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.54%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 2-1 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
Result
Scunthorpe United
24.13%
▼
(-0.51)
Draw
22.39%
▲
(+0.06)
Wrexham
53.47%
▲
(+0.45)
Both Teams to Score:
59.49%
▼
(-0.80)
Goals
Over 2.5
59.86%
▼
(-0.79)
Under 2.5
40.14%
▲
(+0.79)
Over 3.5
37.49%
▼
(-0.82)
Under 3.5
62.51%
▲
(+0.82)
Scunthorpe United Goals
Over 0.5
70.02%
▼
(-0.84)
Under 0.5
29.98%
▲
(+0.83)
Over 1.5
33.9%
▼
(-1.02)
Under 1.5
66.09%
▲
(+1.02)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5
84.95%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 0.5
15.04%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 1.5
56.46%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 1.5
43.54%
▲
(+0.24)
Score analysis
Scunthorpe United
24.13%
Draw
22.39%
Wrexham
53.48%
Scunthorpe United
2-1
@
6.2%
▼
(-0.09)
1-0 @ 5.43% ▲ (+0.08)
2-0 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.10)
3-2 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.11)
3-0 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 24.13%
1-0 @ 5.43% ▲ (+0.08)
2-0 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.10)
3-2 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.11)
3-0 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 24.13%
Draw
1-1
@
10.29%
▲
(+0.10)
2-2 @ 5.87% ▼ (-0.11)
0-0 @ 4.51% ▲ (+0.17)
3-3 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.39%
2-2 @ 5.87% ▼ (-0.11)
0-0 @ 4.51% ▲ (+0.17)
3-3 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.39%
Wrexham
1-2
@
9.75%
▲
(+0.05)
0-1 @ 8.54% ▲ (+0.27)
0-2 @ 8.09% ▲ (+0.22)
1-3 @ 6.15% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 5.11% ▲ (+0.12)
2-3 @ 3.71% ▼ (-0.09)
1-4 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 2.42% ▲ (+0.05)
2-4 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.05)
1-5 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 53.48%
0-1 @ 8.54% ▲ (+0.27)
0-2 @ 8.09% ▲ (+0.22)
1-3 @ 6.15% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 5.11% ▲ (+0.12)
2-3 @ 3.71% ▼ (-0.09)
1-4 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 2.42% ▲ (+0.05)
2-4 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.05)
1-5 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 53.48%