Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 47.51%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eastleigh would win this match.
Result | ||
Eastleigh | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
47.51% ( 0.08) | 25.19% ( -0.03) | 27.3% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 53.25% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.2% ( 0.08) | 49.8% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.2% ( 0.07) | 71.8% ( -0.07) |
Eastleigh Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.02% ( 0.06) | 20.98% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.25% ( 0.1) | 53.74% ( -0.1) |
Scunthorpe United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.39% | 32.61% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.85% ( 0) | 69.15% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Eastleigh | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
1-0 @ 10.68% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 47.51% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 27.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 46 | 25 | 21 | 47 |
2 | York City | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 44 | 20 | 24 | 45 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 45 |
4 | Gateshead | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 41 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 40 |
6 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 34 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 34 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 34 |
9 | Rochdale | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
10 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 32 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 32 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 30 |
13 | Eastleigh | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 29 |
14 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 28 |
15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
16 | Tamworth | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 26 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 22 |
18 | Fylde | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 22 |
19 | Woking | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 21 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 22 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 50 | -34 | 9 |
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