Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 54.77%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 24.14% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.18%) and 1-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Barnet win was 1-2 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Altrincham | Draw | Barnet |
54.77% ( 0.03) | 21.1% ( -0.04) | 24.14% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 64.24% ( 0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.1% ( 0.22) | 33.91% ( -0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.24% ( 0.25) | 55.76% ( -0.24) |
Altrincham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.48% ( 0.08) | 12.52% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.47% ( 0.17) | 38.53% ( -0.16) |
Barnet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.44% ( 0.13) | 26.57% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.22% ( 0.17) | 61.78% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Altrincham | Draw | Barnet |
2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.58% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 54.77% | 1-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.37% Total : 21.1% | 1-2 @ 6.07% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.29% 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.05% Total : 24.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 44 |
2 | Barnet | 21 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 44 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 42 |
4 | Gateshead | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Rochdale | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 33 |
7 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 32 |
8 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 31 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 31 |
11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 31 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 29 |
13 | Eastleigh | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 28 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 26 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 25 |
16 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Fylde | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 21 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 20 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 19 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 21 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 46 | -31 | 9 |
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