Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 37.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 2-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Altrincham | Draw | York City |
| 37.36% ( | 25.11% ( | 37.52% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.35% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.81% ( | 46.18% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.52% ( | 68.48% ( |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.69% ( | 24.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.3% ( | 58.69% ( |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.78% ( | 24.22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.43% ( | 58.56% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Altrincham | Draw | York City |
| 2-1 @ 8.35% ( 1-0 @ 8.33% ( 2-0 @ 5.89% ( 3-1 @ 3.94% ( 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 3-0 @ 2.78% ( 4-1 @ 1.39% ( 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 4-0 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 1.93% Total : 37.36% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0-0 @ 5.89% ( 3-3 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.11% | 1-2 @ 8.37% ( 0-1 @ 8.35% ( 0-2 @ 5.92% ( 1-3 @ 3.96% ( 0-3 @ 2.8% ( 2-3 @ 2.8% ( 1-4 @ 1.4% ( 2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0-4 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 1.94% Total : 37.52% |