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FA Cup

Shrewsbury Town
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow

Shrewsbury
2 - 1
York City

Shipley (2'), Leahy (45+3' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-1)
Duku (45+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Shrewsbury Town and York City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shrewsbury Town

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Last Game: Walsall 1-1 Shrewsbury
Saturday, December 13 at 3pm in League Two
Next Game: Shrewsbury vs. Chesterfield
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in League Two
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York City

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Last Game: York City 5-1 Aldershot
Saturday, November 29 at 3pm in National League
Next Game: York City vs. Truro City
Saturday, December 20 at 5.30pm in National League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for York City had a probability of 30.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest York City win was 1-2 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Shrewsbury Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Shrewsbury Town.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawYork City
44.66% (0.156 0.16)24.44% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)30.89% (-0.142 -0.14)
Both teams to score 58.04% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.43% (-0.012 -0.01)44.57% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.06% (-0.012 -0.01)66.94% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.92% (0.064000000000007 0.06)20.08% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.68% (0.101 0.1)52.32% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
York City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.63% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)27.37% (0.101 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.17% (-0.129 -0.13)62.83% (0.13200000000001 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 44.66%
    York City 30.89%
    Draw 24.44%
Shrewsbury TownDrawYork City
2-1 @ 9.18% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.82% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.08% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.91% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.79% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.18% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.97% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.52% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 44.66%
1-1 @ 11.43%
2-2 @ 5.95% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.5% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.44%
1-2 @ 7.41% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.12% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.61% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.2% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.99% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 30.89%

How you voted: Shrewsbury vs York City

Shrewsbury Town
66.7%
Draw
0.0%
York City
33.3%
9
Head to Head
Apr 18, 2015 3pm
Shrewsbury
1-0
York City
Ellis (12')
Collins (84')
Oct 18, 2014 3pm
York City
0-1
Shrewsbury

Coulson (86')
Jarvis (64')
Collins (87')
Grant (20')
> Match Report