FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round

Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK

Montgomery Waters Meadow

Shrewsbury
2 - 1
York City

Shipley (2'), Leahy (45+3' pen.)

FT(HT: 2-1)

Duku (45+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Shrewsbury Town and York City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions

Last Game: Portsmouth 1-1 Shrewsbury
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

York City

All competitions

Last Game: York City 0-2 Southend
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for York City had a probability of 30.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest York City win was 1-2 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Shrewsbury Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Shrewsbury Town.

Result
Shrewsbury Town	Draw	York City
44.66% ( 0.16)	24.44% ( -0.01)	30.89% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 58.04% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.43% (

-0.01)

44.57% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.06% (

-0.01)

66.94% (

0.02)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.92% (

0.06)

20.08% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.68% (

0.1)

52.32% (

-0.1)

York City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.63% (

-0.1)

27.37% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.17% (

-0.13)

62.83% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Shrewsbury Town 44.66%

York City 30.89%

Draw 24.44%

Shrewsbury Town	Draw	York City
2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 44.66%	1-1 @ 11.43% 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.5% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.44%	1-2 @ 7.41% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.96% Total : 30.89%