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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 57.75%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 18.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.59%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 57.75% ( | 24.11% ( | 18.13% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.42% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.46% ( | 54.54% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.11% ( | 75.89% ( |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.28% ( | 18.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.91% ( | 50.09% ( |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.88% ( | 44.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.78% ( | 80.22% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 1-0 @ 13.83% ( 2-0 @ 11.59% ( 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 3-0 @ 6.48% ( 3-1 @ 5.3% ( 4-0 @ 2.71% ( 4-1 @ 2.22% ( 3-2 @ 2.17% ( 5-0 @ 0.91% ( 4-2 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.14% Total : 57.74% | 1-1 @ 11.32% ( 0-0 @ 8.26% ( 2-2 @ 3.88% ( Other @ 0.65% Total : 24.11% | 0-1 @ 6.76% ( 1-2 @ 4.63% ( 0-2 @ 2.77% ( 1-3 @ 1.26% ( 2-3 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 1.65% Total : 18.13% |