AFC Wimbledon
Barnsley
Blackpool
Bolton logo
Bradford City
Burton Albion
Cardiff City logo
Doncaster Rovers
Exeter City
Huddersfield logo
Leyton Orient
Lincoln City
Luton Town
Mansfield Town
Northampton Town
Peterborough United
Plymouth Argyle
Port Vale
Reading logo
Rotherham logo
Stevenage
Stockport County
Wigan logo
Wycombe Wanderers
Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 16
Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Bristol Rovers
2 - 2
Plymouth

Coburn (47'), Collins (57')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Azaz (14'), Randell (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawPlymouth Argyle
35.02% (0.109 0.11)24.54% (0.033000000000001 0.03)40.44% (-0.145 -0.14)
Both teams to score 59.19% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.29% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)43.7% (0.13200000000001 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.9% (-0.133 -0.13)66.09% (0.13000000000001 0.13)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.54% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)24.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)58.89%
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.35% (-0.128 -0.13)21.64% (0.126 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.23% (-0.195 -0.2)54.77% (0.192 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 35.02%
    Plymouth Argyle 40.44%
    Draw 24.53%
Bristol RoversDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-1 @ 8.03% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.45% (0.043 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.25% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.77% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.46% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 35.02%
1-1 @ 11.4% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.15% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.29% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.53%
1-2 @ 8.73% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.1% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.2% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.45% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.16% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.14% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.7% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.21% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 40.44%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Plymouth

Bristol Rovers
11.1%
Draw
5.6%
Plymouth Argyle
83.3%
18
Head to Head
Aug 30, 2022 7pm
Plymouth
1-1
Bristol Rovers
Plymouth win 4-3 on penalties
Hardie (58' pen.)
Whittaker (37')
Loft (50')
Saunders (60'), Rossiter (88')
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Plymouth
2-0
Bristol Rovers
Ennis (7', 45')
Ennis (18'), Opoku (39'), Lewis (75')
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
Dec 17, 2019 7.30pm
Dec 1, 2019 2pm
Bristol Rovers
1-1
Plymouth
Sercombe (74')
Upson (8'), Clarke (81'), Kilgour (84')
Menayese (95')
Sarcevic (84' pen.)
Grant (64'), Telford (90')