League One

League One | Gameweek 15

Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK

Stadium mk

MK Dons
1 - 4
Plymouth

Grigg (49')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Whittaker (9'), Ennis (25'), Azaz (37', 59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between MK Dons and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions

League One

Last Game: MK Dons 0-1 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, October 11 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Plymouth 3-0 Accrington
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 43.84%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
MK Dons	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
43.84% ( -0.82)	26.03% ( 0.27)	30.13% ( 0.55)

Both teams to score 52.42% (

-0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.27% (

-0.84)

51.73% (

0.84)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.49% (

-0.73)

73.5% (

0.73)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.52% (

-0.75)

23.48% (

0.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.5% (

-1.1)

57.5% (

1.1)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.5% (

-0.04)

31.49% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.11% (

-0.04)

67.88% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

MK Dons 43.83%

Plymouth Argyle 30.13%

Draw 26.03%

MK Dons	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 10.71% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 3.75% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.97% Total : 43.83%	1-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.03%	0-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.85% Total : 30.13%