/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fmkdlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fplylog.png)
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Will Grigg
49'
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Morgan Whittaker
9'
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Niall Ennis
25'
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Finn Azaz
37'
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Finn Azaz
59'
MK Dons vs Plymouth Argyle - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F42%2Fliam-manning.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 43.84%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
Result
MK Dons
43.84%
▼
(-0.82)
Draw
26.03%
▲
(+0.27)
Plymouth Argyle
30.13%
▲
(+0.55)
Both Teams to Score:
52.42%
▼
(-0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5
48.27%
▼
(-0.84)
Under 2.5
51.73%
▲
(+0.84)
Over 3.5
26.49%
▼
(-0.74)
Under 3.5
73.5%
▲
(+0.74)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5
76.52%
▼
(-0.76)
Under 0.5
23.48%
▲
(+0.75)
Over 1.5
42.5%
▼
(-1.11)
Under 1.5
57.5%
▲
(+1.10)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5
68.5%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
31.49%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
32.11%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 1.5
67.88%
▲
(+0.05)
Score analysis
MK Dons
43.83%
Draw
26.03%
Plymouth Argyle
30.13%
MK Dons
1-0
@
10.71%
▲
(+0.13)
2-1 @ 8.97% ▼ (-0.11)
2-0 @ 7.76% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 4.33% ▼ (-0.15)
3-0 @ 3.75% ▼ (-0.13)
3-2 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.09)
4-1 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.09)
4-0 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 43.83%
2-1 @ 8.97% ▼ (-0.11)
2-0 @ 7.76% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 4.33% ▼ (-0.15)
3-0 @ 3.75% ▼ (-0.13)
3-2 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.09)
4-1 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.09)
4-0 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 43.83%
Draw
1-1
@
12.38%
▲
(+0.14)
0-0 @ 7.39% ▲ (+0.25)
2-2 @ 5.18% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 26.03%
0-0 @ 7.39% ▲ (+0.25)
2-2 @ 5.18% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 26.03%
Plymouth Argyle
0-1
@
8.54%
▲
(+0.28)
1-2 @ 7.15% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 4.94% ▲ (+0.16)
1-3 @ 2.75% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 30.13%
1-2 @ 7.15% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 4.94% ▲ (+0.16)
1-3 @ 2.75% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 30.13%
