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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 49.86%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 24.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 49.86% ( | 25.4% ( | 24.73% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.35% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.48% ( | 52.52% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.81% ( | 74.18% ( |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.92% ( | 21.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.1% ( | 53.9% ( |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.8% ( | 36.2% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.02% ( | 72.98% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 1-0 @ 11.87% 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 2-0 @ 9.25% ( 3-1 @ 4.88% ( 3-0 @ 4.8% ( 3-2 @ 2.48% 4-1 @ 1.9% ( 4-0 @ 1.87% ( 4-2 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.46% Total : 49.86% | 1-1 @ 12.07% 0-0 @ 7.63% 2-2 @ 4.78% ( Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 7.75% ( 1-2 @ 6.13% ( 0-2 @ 3.94% ( 1-3 @ 2.08% ( 2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0-3 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 1.87% Total : 24.73% |