Bristol Rovers
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 18, 2022 at 7pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Swindon Town

Bristol Rovers
3 - 0
Swindon

Loft (63'), Anderson (76'), McCormick (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Bristol Rovers and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-4 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League One

Swindon Town

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Swindon 1-0 Colchester
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawSwindon Town
32.38% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)24.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)43.04% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 58.25%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.4% (0.0049999999999955 0)44.6% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.03% (0.0020000000000024 0)66.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.56% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)26.44% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)61.61% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)20.81% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.52% (0.012 0.01)53.48% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 32.38%
    Swindon Town 43.04%
    Draw 24.58%
Bristol RoversDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 7.64% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 7.32% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 4.87% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 3.39% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.66%
3-0 @ 2.16% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 32.38%
1-1 @ 11.49%
2-2 @ 6%
0-0 @ 5.5% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.58%
1-2 @ 9.02% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 8.64%
0-2 @ 6.78% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 4.72% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 3.55% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 3.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.85% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 43.04%

Head to Head
Jan 22, 2022 1pm
Swindon
1-1
Bristol Rovers
Simpson (16')
Iandolo (57')
Finley (35')
Taylor (25'), Finley (32'), Loft (40'), Coutts (74'), Grant (90+4'), Hoole (90+6')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Bristol Rovers
1-3
Swindon
Anderson (17')
Kilgour (79'), Harries (90+4')
Kilgour (84')
Payne (57'), Gladwin (85' pen.), McKirdy (87')
Mar 23, 2021 7pm
Bristol Rovers
0-1
Swindon

Upson (21'), Williams (76')
Payne (71')
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Swindon
1-0
Bristol Rovers
Pitman (76')
Donohue (38'), Grounds (62'), Odimayo (64')

Nicholson (81')
Nov 13, 2019 7.45pm
Bristol Rovers
1-0
Swindon
Little (73')
Clarke (90')

Broadbent (75'), Sanokho (80')