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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
| 44.46% | 24.58% | 30.96% |
| Both teams to score 57.62% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.85% | 45.14% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.51% | 67.49% |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.59% | 20.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.16% | 52.83% |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.39% | 27.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.86% | 63.14% |
| Score Analysis |
| Swindon Town | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 9.16% 1-0 @ 8.95% 2-0 @ 7.12% 3-1 @ 4.85% 3-0 @ 3.77% 3-2 @ 3.12% 4-1 @ 1.93% 4-0 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.82% Total : 44.46% | 1-1 @ 11.52% 2-2 @ 5.89% 0-0 @ 5.63% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.57% | 1-2 @ 7.42% 0-1 @ 7.25% 0-2 @ 4.67% 1-3 @ 3.18% 2-3 @ 2.53% 0-3 @ 2% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.89% Total : 30.96% |