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Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 28
Jan 22, 2022 at 1pm UK
The County Ground
Bristol Rovers

Swindon
1 - 1
Bristol Rovers

Simpson (16')
Iandolo (57')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Finley (35')
Taylor (25'), Finley (32'), Loft (40'), Coutts (74'), Grant (90+4'), Hoole (90+6')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Bristol Rovers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawBristol Rovers
44.46%24.58%30.96%
Both teams to score 57.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.85%45.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.51%67.49%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.59%20.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.16%52.83%
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.39%27.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.86%63.14%
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 44.46%
    Bristol Rovers 30.96%
    Draw 24.57%
Swindon TownDrawBristol Rovers
2-1 @ 9.16%
1-0 @ 8.95%
2-0 @ 7.12%
3-1 @ 4.85%
3-0 @ 3.77%
3-2 @ 3.12%
4-1 @ 1.93%
4-0 @ 1.5%
4-2 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 44.46%
1-1 @ 11.52%
2-2 @ 5.89%
0-0 @ 5.63%
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.57%
1-2 @ 7.42%
0-1 @ 7.25%
0-2 @ 4.67%
1-3 @ 3.18%
2-3 @ 2.53%
0-3 @ 2%
1-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 30.96%