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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 62.52%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 15.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.21%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portsmouth | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 62.52% ( | 22.05% ( | 15.43% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.03% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.17% ( | 50.83% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.29% ( | 72.71% ( |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.29% ( | 15.71% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.21% ( | 44.79% ( |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.61% ( | 45.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.76% ( | 81.24% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Portsmouth | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 1-0 @ 13.19% 2-0 @ 12.21% 2-1 @ 9.65% 3-0 @ 7.53% ( 3-1 @ 5.95% ( 4-0 @ 3.49% ( 4-1 @ 2.75% ( 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 5-0 @ 1.29% ( 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 5-1 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 1.99% Total : 62.51% | 1-1 @ 10.42% 0-0 @ 7.13% ( 2-2 @ 3.81% Other @ 0.68% Total : 22.04% | 0-1 @ 5.63% ( 1-2 @ 4.12% ( 0-2 @ 2.23% ( 1-3 @ 1.09% ( 2-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.36% Total : 15.43% |