Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidenhead United win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidenhead United win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-0 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.