National League | Gameweek 23

Dec 10, 2022 at 3pm UK

York Road Stadium

Maidenhead
3 - 4
Notts County

Acauah (30', 48'), Ferdinand (67')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Rodrigues (9'), de Castro (39'), Langstaff (41', 83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Maidenhead United and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Maidenhead United

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Maidenhead 1-1 Dorking
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in National League

Goals
for

Notts County

All competitions

Last Game: Scunthorpe 1-4 Notts County
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 59.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 18.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.07%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 1-0 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Maidenhead United	Draw	Notts County
18.51% ( -0.13)	21.54% ( -0.09)	59.95% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 53.9% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.44% (

0.2)

43.56% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.05% (

0.19)

65.95% (

-0.19)

Maidenhead United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.76% (

-0.03)

37.24% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.98% (

-0.03)

74.02% (

0.03)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.88% (

0.13)

14.12% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.23% (

0.26)

41.77% (

-0.25)

Score Analysis

Maidenhead United 18.51%

Notts County 59.94%

Draw 21.53%

Maidenhead United	Draw	Notts County
1-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0) Other @ 2.46% Total : 18.51%	1-1 @ 10.16% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.53%	0-1 @ 10.29% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 10.07% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.95% ( 0) 0-3 @ 6.57% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 6.49% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 3.22% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 3.18% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.26% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.89% Total : 59.94%