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Aldershot Town
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Barnet
Boreham Wood
Bromley
Chesterfield
Dagenham & Redbridge
Eastleigh
Ebbsfleet United
AFC Fylde
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Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
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Oldham Athletic
Rochdale
Solihull Moors
Southend United
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Scunthorpe United
National League | Gameweek 22
Dec 3, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Sands Venue Stadium
Notts County

Scunthorpe
1 - 4
Notts County

Lavery (19')
Apter (34'), Beestin (63'), Carver (65')
FT(HT: 1-3)
de Castro (23'), O'Brien (33'), Langstaff (40'), Scott (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Scunthorpe United and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wealdstone 3-1 Scunthorpe
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Notts County 0-0 Yeovil
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in National League

We said: Scunthorpe United 0-3 Notts County

Notts County have had a two-week break heading into this weekend so should be fully rested and ready to give a good performance for their travelling supporters. Scunthorpe have been forced to make a change in management in the week and that combined with an in-form Notts County side coming to town means Saturday's game is likely to end in a sixth straight defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 65.69%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 16.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.79%) and 1-3 (7.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 2-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Scunthorpe UnitedDrawNotts County
16.02% (0.062000000000001 0.06) 18.29% (0.527 0.53) 65.69% (-0.584 -0.58)
Both teams to score 60.3% (-1.993 -1.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.25% (-2.548 -2.55)32.75% (2.552 2.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.57% (-3.003 -3)54.43% (3.006 3.01)
Scunthorpe United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.51% (-1.584 -1.58)33.48% (1.588 1.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.88% (-1.772 -1.77)70.12% (1.775 1.77)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.65% (-0.815 -0.81)9.34% (0.818 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.5% (-1.972 -1.97)31.49% (1.975 1.98)
Score Analysis
    Scunthorpe United 16.02%
    Notts County 65.69%
    Draw 18.29%
Scunthorpe UnitedDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 4.44% (0.068 0.07)
1-0 @ 3.42% (0.315 0.32)
3-2 @ 1.92% (-0.131 -0.13)
2-0 @ 1.87% (0.097 0.1)
3-1 @ 1.62% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 16.02%
1-1 @ 8.12% (0.463 0.46)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 3.13% (0.409 0.41)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.166 -0.17)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 18.29%
1-2 @ 9.62% (0.198 0.2)
0-2 @ 8.79% (0.547 0.55)
1-3 @ 7.6% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-1 @ 7.42% (0.721 0.72)
0-3 @ 6.95% (0.182 0.18)
1-4 @ 4.5% (-0.254 -0.25)
2-3 @ 4.16% (-0.259 -0.26)
0-4 @ 4.12% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
2-4 @ 2.46% (-0.255 -0.26)
1-5 @ 2.14% (-0.207 -0.21)
0-5 @ 1.95% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-5 @ 1.17% (-0.17 -0.17)
Other @ 4.83%
Total : 65.69%

How you voted: Scunthorpe vs Notts County

Scunthorpe United
33.3%
Draw
16.7%
Notts County
50.0%
6
Head to Head
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
Scunthorpe
3-3
Notts County
Scunthorpe win 6-5 on penalties
Madden (69' pen., 105'), Holmes (86')
Goode (43'), Mantom (84'), Townsend (108')
Grant (22'), Brisley (92'), Yates (117')
Stead (45'), Yates (79')
Aug 9, 2016 7.45pm
Mar 28, 2015 3pm
Notts County
2-2
Scunthorpe
Jones (10'), Bajner (73')
Smith (34'), Williams (77')
Robinson (1'), Canavan (86')
Madden (6'), McSheffrey (44'), Robinson (91')
Oct 25, 2014 3pm
Scunthorpe
0-1
Notts County

Madden (65'), Olejnik (88'), Osbourne (90')
Ismail (89' pen.)
Hollis (40'), Ismail (90')
Oct 7, 2014 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CChesterfield4631510106654198
2Barnet462681291603186
3Bromley462215973492481
4AltrinchamAltrincham4622111384592577
5Solihull MoorsSolihull462113127162976
6Gateshead462291588642475
7Halifax TownHalifax461914135850871
8Aldershot TownAldershot46209177483-969
9Southend UnitedSouthend4621121370452565
10Oldham AthleticOldham461518136360363
11Rochdale461614166964562
12Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool46179207082-1260
13Eastleigh461611197387-1459
14Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead461513186067-758
15Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red461414186963656
16WealdstoneWealdstone461511206072-1256
17Woking461510214955-655
18Fylde461510217482-855
19Ebbsfleet461412205974-1554
20York City461217175569-1453
21Boreham WoodBoreham Wood461216185973-1452
22Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster461113224059-1946
23Dorking WanderersDorking46129255485-3145
24Oxford CityOxford City4689295494-4033


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