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Scunthorpe United
National League | Gameweek 22
Dec 3, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Sands Venue Stadium
Notts County

Scunthorpe
1 - 4
Notts County

Lavery (19')
FT(HT: 1-3)
de Castro (23'), O'Brien (33'), Langstaff (40'), Scott (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Scunthorpe United and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Scunthorpe United

All competitions
Last Game: Wealdstone 3-1 Scunthorpe
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League

Notts County

All competitions
Last Game: Notts County 0-0 Yeovil
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 65.69%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 16.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.79%) and 1-3 (7.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 2-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Scunthorpe UnitedDrawNotts County
16.02% (0.062000000000001 0.06)18.29% (0.527 0.53)65.69% (-0.584 -0.58)
Both teams to score 60.3% (-1.993 -1.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.25% (-2.548 -2.55)32.75% (2.552 2.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.57% (-3.003 -3)54.43% (3.006 3.01)
Scunthorpe United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.51% (-1.584 -1.58)33.48% (1.588 1.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.88% (-1.772 -1.77)70.12% (1.775 1.77)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.65% (-0.815 -0.81)9.34% (0.818 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.5% (-1.972 -1.97)31.49% (1.975 1.98)
Score Analysis
    Scunthorpe United 16.02%
    Notts County 65.69%
    Draw 18.29%
Scunthorpe UnitedDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 4.44% (0.068 0.07)
1-0 @ 3.42% (0.315 0.32)
3-2 @ 1.92% (-0.131 -0.13)
2-0 @ 1.87% (0.097 0.1)
3-1 @ 1.62% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 16.02%
1-1 @ 8.12% (0.463 0.46)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 3.13% (0.409 0.41)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.166 -0.17)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 18.29%
1-2 @ 9.62% (0.198 0.2)
0-2 @ 8.79% (0.547 0.55)
1-3 @ 7.6% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-1 @ 7.42% (0.721 0.72)
0-3 @ 6.95% (0.182 0.18)
1-4 @ 4.5% (-0.254 -0.25)
2-3 @ 4.16% (-0.259 -0.26)
0-4 @ 4.12% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
2-4 @ 2.46% (-0.255 -0.26)
1-5 @ 2.14% (-0.207 -0.21)
0-5 @ 1.95% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-5 @ 1.17% (-0.17 -0.17)
Other @ 4.83%
Total : 65.69%

How you voted: Scunthorpe vs Notts County

Scunthorpe United
33.3%
Draw
16.7%
Notts County
50.0%
6
Head to Head
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
Scunthorpe
3-3
Notts County
 Scunthorpe win 6-5 on penalties
Madden (69' pen., 105'), Holmes (86')
Goode (43'), Mantom (84'), Townsend (108')
Grant (22'), Brisley (92'), Yates (117')
Stead (45'), Yates (79')
Aug 9, 2016 7.45pm
Scunthorpe
2-0
Notts County
Van Veen (100', 115')
Mar 28, 2015 3pm
Notts County
2-2
Scunthorpe
Jones (10'), Bajner (73')
Smith (34'), Williams (77')
Robinson (1'), Canavan (86')
Madden (6'), McSheffrey (44'), Robinson (91')
Oct 25, 2014 3pm
Scunthorpe
0-1
Notts County

Madden (65'), Olejnik (88'), Osbourne (90')
Ismail (89' pen.)
Hollis (40'), Ismail (90')
Oct 7, 2014 7.45pm
Scunthorpe
1-2
Notts County
Madden (14')
Madden (76')
McLaughlin (23'), Murray (32')
Thompson (77')
rhs 2.0


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