Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 65.69%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 16.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.79%) and 1-3 (7.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 2-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
Result | ||
Scunthorpe United | Draw | Notts County |
16.02% ( 0.06) | 18.29% ( 0.53) | 65.69% ( -0.58) |
Both teams to score 60.3% ( -1.99) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.25% ( -2.55) | 32.75% ( 2.55) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.57% ( -3) | 54.43% ( 3.01) |
Scunthorpe United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.51% ( -1.58) | 33.48% ( 1.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.88% ( -1.77) | 70.12% ( 1.77) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.65% ( -0.81) | 9.34% ( 0.82) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.5% ( -1.97) | 31.49% ( 1.98) |
Score Analysis |
Scunthorpe United | Draw | Notts County |
2-1 @ 4.44% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.32) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.74% Total : 16.02% | 1-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.46) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.41) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.27% Total : 18.29% | 1-2 @ 9.62% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 8.79% ( 0.55) 1-3 @ 7.6% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.72) 0-3 @ 6.95% ( 0.18) 1-4 @ 4.5% ( -0.25) 2-3 @ 4.16% ( -0.26) 0-4 @ 4.12% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 2.46% ( -0.26) 1-5 @ 2.14% ( -0.21) 0-5 @ 1.95% ( -0.1) 2-5 @ 1.17% ( -0.17) Other @ 4.83% Total : 65.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
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