National League Gameweek 22
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
1
4
HT : 1 3
FT Sands Venue Stadium
  • Caolan Lavery 19' goal
  • goal Quevin de Castro 23'
  • goal Jim O'Brien 33'
  • goal Macaulay Langstaff 40'
  • goal Cedwyn Scott 85'

Scunthorpe United vs Notts County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Scunthorpe United

All competitions
Last game
Nov 26, 2022 3.00pm
Wealdstone 3 - 1 Scunthorpe
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Joe Nuttall

Notts County

All competitions
Last game
Nov 19, 2022 3.00pm
Notts County 0 - 0 Yeovil
Goals scored
117
Top scorer
Macaulay Langstaff

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 65.69%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 16.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.79%) and 1-3 (7.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 2-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result

Scunthorpe United 16.02% (+0.07)
Draw 18.29% (+0.53)
Notts County 65.69% (-0.59)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.3% (-2.00)

Goals

Over 2.5 67.25% (-2.55)
Under 2.5 32.75% (+2.56)
Over 3.5 45.57% (-3.01)
Under 3.5 54.43% (+3.01)

Scunthorpe United Goals

Over 0.5 66.51% (-1.59)
Under 0.5 33.48% (+1.59)
Over 1.5 29.88% (-1.78)
Under 1.5 70.12% (+1.78)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5 90.65% (-0.82)
Under 0.5 9.34% (+0.82)
Over 1.5 68.5% (-1.98)
Under 1.5 31.49% (+1.98)

Score analysis

Scunthorpe United 16.02%
Draw 18.29%
Notts County 65.69%
Scunthorpe United
2-1 @ 4.44% (+0.07)
1-0 @ 3.42% (+0.32)
3-2 @ 1.92% (-0.14)
2-0 @ 1.87% (+0.10)
3-1 @ 1.62% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 16.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.12% (+0.47)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.13)
0-0 @ 3.13% (+0.41)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.17)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 18.29%
Notts County
1-2 @ 9.62% (+0.20)
0-2 @ 8.79% (+0.55)
1-3 @ 7.6% (-0.13)
0-1 @ 7.42% (+0.73)
0-3 @ 6.95% (+0.19)
1-4 @ 4.5% (-0.26)
2-3 @ 4.16% (-0.26)
0-4 @ 4.12% (-0.05)
2-4 @ 2.46% (-0.26)
1-5 @ 2.14% (-0.21)
0-5 @ 1.95% (-0.10)
2-5 @ 1.17% (-0.18)
Other @ 4.83%
Total : 65.69%

Head to Head

EFL Cup
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
3
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Charlie Goode 43' yellowcard
  • Paddy Madden 69' goal
  • Sam Mantom 84' yellowcard
  • Duane Holmes 86' goal
  • Paddy Madden 105' goal
  • Conor Townsend 108' yellowcard
  • goal Jorge Grant 22'
  • yellowcard Jon Stead 45'
  • yellowcard Ryan Yates 79'
  • goal Shaun Brisley 92'
  • goal Ryan Yates 117'
EFL Cup
Aug 9, 2016 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kevin van Veen 100' goal
  • Kevin van Veen 115' goal
League One
Mar 28, 2015 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Gary Jones 10' goal
  • Alan Smith 34' yellowcard
  • Balint Bajner 73' goal
  • Jordan Williams 77' yellowcard
  • goal Theo Robinson 1'
  • yellowcard Paddy Madden 6'
  • yellowcard Gary McSheffrey 44'
  • goal Niall Canavan 86'
  • yellowcard Theo Robinson 91'
League One
Oct 25, 2014 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Patrick Madden 65' yellowcard
  • Robert Olejnik 88' yellowcard
  • Isaiah Osbourne 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hayden Hollis 40'
  • goal Zeli Ismail 89'
  • yellowcard Zeli Ismail 90'
Johnstone's Paint Trophy
Oct 7, 2014 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Paddy Madden 14' goal
  • Paddy Madden 76' yellowcard
  • goal Steven McLaughlin 23'
  • goal Ronan Murray 32'
  • yellowcard Garry Thompson 77'
League One
Mar 16, 2013 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Hayden Hollis 28' yellowcard
  • Alan Judge 52' yellowcard
  • Dean Leacock 81' goal
  • yellowcard Paul Reid 38'
  • yellowcard James Ryan 61'