National League | Gameweek 21

Nov 26, 2022 at 3pm UK

Grosvenor Vale

Wealdstone
3 - 1
Scunthorpe

Kretzschmar (24' pen.), Obiero (64'), Olomola (70')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Lavery (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Wealdstone and Scunthorpe United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wealdstone

All competitions

Last Game: York City 1-2 Wealdstone
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Scunthorpe United

All competitions

Last Game: Dag & Red 2-1 Scunthorpe
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 47.41%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 27.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-0 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wealdstone would win this match.

Result
Wealdstone	Draw	Scunthorpe United
27.71% ( -3.13)	24.88% ( -1.22)	47.41% ( 4.35)

Both teams to score 54.56% (

2.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.77% (

3.51)

48.23% (

-3.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.62% (

3.13)

70.38% (

-3.13)

Wealdstone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.54% (

-0.47)

31.46% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.15% (

-0.55)

67.85% (

0.55)

Scunthorpe United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.61% (

3.47)

20.39% (

-3.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.19% (

5.24)

52.81% (

-5.24)

Score Analysis

Wealdstone 27.71%

Scunthorpe United 47.41%

Draw 24.87%

Wealdstone	Draw	Scunthorpe United
1-0 @ 7.42% ( -1.25) 2-1 @ 6.82% ( -0.45) 2-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.78) 3-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.33) Other @ 2.82% Total : 27.71%	1-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.62) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.98) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.87%	0-1 @ 10.2% ( -0.39) 1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0.48) 0-2 @ 8.11% ( 0.52) 1-3 @ 4.97% ( 0.72) 0-3 @ 4.3% ( 0.67) 2-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.39) 1-4 @ 1.98% ( 0.46) 0-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.41) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.25) Other @ 2.74% Total : 47.41%