Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 46.15%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 0-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wealdstone would win this match.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Wealdstone |
| 46.15% ( | 24.57% ( | 29.28% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.66% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.03% ( | 45.97% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.72% ( | 68.27% ( |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.99% ( | 20.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.79% ( | 52.21% ( |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.84% ( | 29.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.9% ( | 65.09% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| York City | Draw | Wealdstone |
| 1-0 @ 9.39% ( 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 2-0 @ 7.55% ( 3-1 @ 4.99% ( 3-0 @ 4.05% ( 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 4-1 @ 2.01% ( 4-0 @ 1.63% ( 4-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.91% Total : 46.15% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0-0 @ 5.84% ( 2-2 @ 5.74% ( 3-3 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.57% | 0-1 @ 7.19% ( 1-2 @ 7.13% ( 0-2 @ 4.43% ( 1-3 @ 2.93% ( 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0-3 @ 1.82% ( 1-4 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 2.52% Total : 29.28% |