National League Gameweek 20
Nov 19, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Bootham Crescent
  • Manny Duku 14' goal
  • goal Miguel Freckleton 67'
  • goal Jack Cook 90'+4'

York City vs Wealdstone - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

York City

All competitions
Last game
Nov 12, 2022 5.20pm
Altrincham 2 - 1 York City
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Lenell John-Lewis

Wealdstone

All competitions
Last game
Nov 12, 2022 3.00pm
Wealdstone 0 - 0 Wrexham
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Olufela Olomola

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 46.15%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 0-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wealdstone would win this match.

Result

York City 46.15% (+0.04)
Draw 24.57% (-0.01)
Wealdstone 29.28% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.66% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.03% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 45.97% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 31.72% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 68.27% (+0.02)

York City Goals

Over 0.5 79.99% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 20.01% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 47.79% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 52.21% (-0.02)

Wealdstone Goals

Over 0.5 70.84% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 29.16% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 34.9% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 65.09% (+0.05)

Score analysis

York City 46.15%
Draw 24.57%
Wealdstone 29.28%
York City
1-0 @ 9.39% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.31% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.55% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.99% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.05% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.01% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.63% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 46.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.57% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.84% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.74% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.57%
Wealdstone
0-1 @ 7.19% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.13% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.43% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.93% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.82% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 29.28%