Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 47.81%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 28.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eastleigh | Draw | Notts County |
| 28.5% ( | 23.69% ( | 47.81% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.16% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.56% ( | 42.43% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.16% ( | 64.84% ( |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.09% ( | 27.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.48% ( | 63.52% ( |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.06% ( | 17.93% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.24% ( | 48.75% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastleigh | Draw | Notts County |
| 2-1 @ 7.01% ( 1-0 @ 6.39% ( 2-0 @ 4.08% ( 3-1 @ 2.98% ( 3-2 @ 2.56% ( 3-0 @ 1.73% ( 4-1 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.8% Total : 28.5% | 1-1 @ 10.97% ( 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0-0 @ 5% ( 3-3 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.68% | 1-2 @ 9.43% ( 0-1 @ 8.6% ( 0-2 @ 7.39% ( 1-3 @ 5.4% ( 0-3 @ 4.23% ( 2-3 @ 3.45% ( 1-4 @ 2.32% ( 0-4 @ 1.82% ( 2-4 @ 1.48% ( Other @ 3.68% Total : 47.81% |