Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 50.68%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 24.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.58%) and 0-2 (8.91%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 1-0 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maidenhead United | Draw | Notts County |
| 24.82% | 24.51% | 50.68% |
| Both teams to score 53.19% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.17% | 48.83% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.07% | 70.93% |
| Maidenhead United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.89% | 34.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.2% | 70.8% |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.73% | 19.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.99% | 51.01% |
| Score Analysis |
| Maidenhead United | Draw | Notts County |
| 1-0 @ 7.07% 2-1 @ 6.26% 2-0 @ 3.8% 3-1 @ 2.25% 3-2 @ 1.85% 3-0 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.22% Total : 24.82% | 1-1 @ 11.64% 0-0 @ 6.58% 2-2 @ 5.15% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.5% | 0-1 @ 10.82% 1-2 @ 9.58% 0-2 @ 8.91% 1-3 @ 5.26% 0-3 @ 4.89% 2-3 @ 2.83% 1-4 @ 2.16% 0-4 @ 2.01% 2-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.04% Total : 50.67% |