National League | Gameweek 22

Dec 3, 2022 at 12.30pm UK

The Hive Stadium

Barnet
2 - 0
Wealdstone

Pritchard (11'), Kabamba (53')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Barnet and Wealdstone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnet

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Accrington 1-0 Barnet
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Wealdstone

All competitions

Last Game: Wealdstone 3-1 Scunthorpe
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 52.06%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 25.38% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.

Result
Barnet	Draw	Wealdstone
52.06% ( 0.48)	22.55% ( -0.01)	25.38% ( -0.47)

Both teams to score 60.34% (

-0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.36% (

-0.38)

39.64% (

0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.01% (

-0.39)

61.99% (

0.39)

Barnet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.65% (

0.03)

15.35% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.89% (

0.06)

44.11% (

-0.06)

Wealdstone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.28% (

-0.56)

28.72% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.45% (

-0.7)

64.55% (

0.7)

Score Analysis

Barnet 52.06%

Wealdstone 25.38%

Draw 22.55%

Barnet	Draw	Wealdstone
2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.85% Total : 52.06%	1-1 @ 10.3% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.55%	1-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 5.5% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.42% Total : 25.38%