FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round Replays

Nov 14, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

Melbourne Cricket Ground

Chelmsford City
0 - 1
Barnet

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kanu (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's FA Cup clash between Chelmsford City and Barnet, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelmsford City

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Chelmsford City 0-2 Hampton
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Top scorers

Barnet

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Oldham 0-2 Barnet
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 44.6%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Barnet win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.

Result
Chelmsford City	Draw	Barnet
44.6% ( -6.42)	23.5% ( 1.14)	31.9% ( 5.28)

Both teams to score 61.93% (

-0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.31% (

-2.12)

39.68% (

2.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.96% (

-2.24)

62.04% (

2.24)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.86% (

-3.18)

18.13% (

3.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.9% (

-5.73)

49.1% (

5.72)

Barnet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.65% (

2.35)

24.35% (

-2.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.25% (

3.21)

58.75% (

-3.22)

Score Analysis

Chelmsford City 44.6%

Barnet 31.9%

Draw 23.5%

Chelmsford City	Draw	Barnet
2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.43) 1-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.77) 3-1 @ 5.18% ( -0.85) 3-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.9) 3-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.33) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.66) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.61) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.33) Other @ 3.71% Total : 44.6%	1-1 @ 10.65% ( 0.64) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.42) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.5%	1-2 @ 7.52% ( 0.91) 0-1 @ 6.24% ( 0.97) 0-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.93) 1-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.63) 2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.26) 0-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.54) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.29) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.16) Other @ 2.78% Total : 31.9%