FA Cup
Nov 14, 2022 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Melbourne Cricket Ground
  • goal Idris Kanu 74'

Chelmsford City vs Barnet - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelmsford City

All competitions

Barnet

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 44.6%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Barnet win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.

Result

Chelmsford City 44.6% (-6.43)
Draw 23.5% (+1.15)
Barnet 31.9% (+5.28)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.93% (-0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.31% (-2.13)
Under 2.5 39.68% (+2.12)
Over 3.5 37.96% (-2.25)
Under 3.5 62.04% (+2.24)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5 81.86% (-3.19)
Under 0.5 18.13% (+3.18)
Over 1.5 50.9% (-5.73)
Under 1.5 49.1% (+5.73)

Barnet Goals

Over 0.5 75.65% (+2.36)
Under 0.5 24.35% (-2.36)
Over 1.5 41.25% (+3.22)
Under 1.5 58.75% (-3.22)

Score analysis

Chelmsford City 44.6%
Draw 23.5%
Barnet 31.9%
Chelmsford City
2-1 @ 9.09% (-0.43)
1-0 @ 7.54% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 6.44% (-0.78)
3-1 @ 5.18% (-0.86)
3-0 @ 3.66% (-0.91)
3-2 @ 3.66% (-0.33)
4-1 @ 2.21% (-0.66)
4-0 @ 1.56% (-0.61)
4-2 @ 1.56% (-0.34)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 44.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.65% (+0.65)
2-2 @ 6.42% (+0.14)
0-0 @ 4.42% (+0.43)
3-3 @ 1.72% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.5%
Barnet
1-2 @ 7.52% (+0.91)
0-1 @ 6.24% (+0.97)
0-2 @ 4.41% (+0.93)
1-3 @ 3.54% (+0.64)
2-3 @ 3.02% (+0.26)
0-3 @ 2.07% (+0.55)
1-4 @ 1.25% (-94.85)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-90.24)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 31.9%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Nov 5, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Hive Stadium
  • Ben Wynter 49' goal
  • goal Charlie Ruff 90'+2'