National League South | Gameweek 18
Nov 7, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Hawthorns
Dover Athletic

Chelmsford City
0 - 0
Dover Athletic

FT
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Dover Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelmsford City

All competitions
National League South
Last Game: Barnet 1-1 Chelmsford City
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup

Dover Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Bath City 0-1 Dover Athletic
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 65.86%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 14.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.82%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 0-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Chelmsford CityDrawDover Athletic
65.86% (0.039000000000001 0.04)19.73% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)14.4% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 50.82% (0.146 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.91% (0.192 0.19)43.08% (-0.196 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.51% (0.191 0.19)65.48% (-0.194 -0.19)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.76% (0.066999999999993 0.07)12.24% (-0.071 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.05% (0.14400000000001 0.14)37.94% (-0.148 -0.15)
Dover Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.91% (0.119 0.12)42.09% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.49% (0.104 0.1)78.51% (-0.108 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Chelmsford City 65.86%
    Dover Athletic 14.4%
    Draw 19.73%
Chelmsford CityDrawDover Athletic
2-0 @ 11.36% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-0 @ 10.82% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 7.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 6.89% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.18% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.62% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.98% (0.019 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.76% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.57% (0.014 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.52% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 65.86%
1-1 @ 9.36% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.15% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.26% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 19.73%
0-1 @ 4.46% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 1.93% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.23% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.17% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 14.4%

rhs 2.0


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