National League South | Gameweek 14
Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns

Chelmsford City
2 - 1
Hemel Hempstead

Jackson (50' pen.), Ruff (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lelan (90')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Hemel Hempstead Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelmsford City

All competitions
Last Game: Chelmsford City 2-0 Cheshunt
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in National League South

Hemel Hempstead Town

All competitions
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 0-1 Cheshunt
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 52.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 23.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.

Result
Chelmsford CityDrawHemel Hempstead Town
52.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)24.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)23.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 52.89% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.4% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)48.59% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.28% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)70.71% (0.012 0.01)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.4% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)18.6% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.12% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)49.88% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.98% (-0.012 -0.01)35.02% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.23% (-0.012 -0.01)71.76% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Chelmsford City 52.17%
    Hemel Hempstead Town 23.63%
    Draw 24.19%
Chelmsford CityDrawHemel Hempstead Town
1-0 @ 10.95%
2-1 @ 9.67% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 9.21% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 5.42% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5.17%
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2.28% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 2.17%
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 52.17%
1-1 @ 11.49%
0-0 @ 6.51% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.19%
0-1 @ 6.83% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 6.03%
0-2 @ 3.59%
1-3 @ 2.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 23.63%

Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Hemel Hempstead
2-2
Chelmsford City
Hughes (74'), Fonkeu (81')
Sheringham (11'), Rush (69')
Nov 13, 2021 3pm
Chelmsford City
1-2
Hemel Hempstead
Olowu (84')
Cerulli (11'), Fasanmade (55')
May 18, 2021 7.45pm
Chelmsford City
0-0
Hemel Hempstead
May 2, 2021 11pm
Hemel Hempstead
0-0
Chelmsford City