National League South Gameweek 10
Sep 24, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Vauxhall Ground
  • Nahum Melvin-Lambert 28' goal
  • goal Ollie Pearce 71'

Hemel Hempstead Town vs Worthing - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hemel Hempstead Town

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Dulwich Hamlet 1 - 3 Hemel Hemps.
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Josh Castiglione

Worthing

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Worthing 3 - 2 Cheshunt
Goals scored
94
Top scorer
Ollie Pearce

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 55.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 21.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.87%) and 0-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 1-0 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result

Hemel Hempstead Town 21.87% (-0.15)
Draw 22.73% (+0.01)
Worthing 55.4% (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.38% (-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.78% (-0.22)
Under 2.5 44.22% (+0.22)
Over 3.5 33.4% (-0.22)
Under 3.5 66.6% (+0.22)

Hemel Hempstead Town Goals

Over 0.5 65.79% (-0.26)
Under 0.5 34.21% (+0.26)
Over 1.5 29.1% (-0.28)
Under 1.5 70.9% (+0.28)

Worthing Goals

Over 0.5 84.17% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 15.83% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 54.99% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 45% (+0.06)

Score analysis

Hemel Hempstead Town 21.87%
Draw 22.73%
Worthing 55.4%
Hemel Hempstead Town
1-0 @ 5.81% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 5.74% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 3.12% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.05% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.11% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 21.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.7% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.41% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.73%
Worthing
0-1 @ 9.98% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 9.87% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 9.2% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 6.06% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 5.65% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 3.25% (-0.03)
1-4 @ 2.79% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.61% (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.5% (-0.02)
1-5 @ 1.03% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 55.4%