National League South | Gameweek 10
Sep 24, 2022 at 3pm UK
Vauxhall Ground

Hemel Hempstead
1 - 1
Worthing

Melvin-Lambert (28' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Pearce (71')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Hemel Hempstead Town and Worthing.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hemel Hempstead Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Dulwich Hamlet 1-3 Hemel Hempstead
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in National League South

Worthing

Last Six:
Last Game: Worthing 3-2 Cheshunt
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 55.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 21.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.87%) and 0-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 1-0 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawWorthing
21.87% (-0.146 -0.15)22.73% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)55.4% (0.14 0.14)
Both teams to score 55.38% (-0.235 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.78% (-0.216 -0.22)44.22% (0.218 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.4% (-0.211 -0.21)66.6% (0.21299999999999 0.21)
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.79% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)34.21% (0.259 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.1% (-0.278 -0.28)70.9% (0.279 0.28)
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.17% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)15.83% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.99% (-0.052 -0.05)45% (0.053999999999995 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Hemel Hempstead Town 21.87%
    Worthing 55.4%
    Draw 22.73%
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawWorthing
1-0 @ 5.81% (0.014 0.01)
2-1 @ 5.74% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 3.12% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.05% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.11% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 21.87%
1-1 @ 10.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.41% (0.050999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.73%
0-1 @ 9.98% (0.084 0.08)
1-2 @ 9.87% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 9.2% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
1-3 @ 6.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 5.65% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.25% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.79% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 2.61% (0.014 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.5% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.03% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-5 @ 0.96% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 55.4%