National League South Gameweek 5
Aug 27, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Princes Park
  • Connor Essam 9' goal
  • goal Callum Kealy 51'
  • goal Joel Colbran 90'+5'

Dartford vs Worthing - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dartford

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Aug 20, 2022 3.00pm
Taunton Town 2 - 1 Dartford
Goals scored
83
Top scorer
Alex Wall

Worthing

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Aug 20, 2022 3.00pm
Worthing 0 - 0 Chippenham
Goals scored
94
Top scorer
Ollie Pearce

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 49.57%. A win for Dartford had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.57%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Dartford win was 1-0 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.

Result

Dartford 26.4% (-0.03)
Draw 24.02% (+0.05)
Worthing 49.57% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.29% (-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.54% (-0.20)
Under 2.5 45.46% (+0.20)
Over 3.5 32.21% (-0.19)
Under 3.5 67.79% (+0.19)

Dartford Goals

Over 0.5 68.99% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 31.02% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 32.68% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 67.32% (+0.15)

Worthing Goals

Over 0.5 81.59% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 18.41% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 50.43% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 49.57% (+0.15)

Score analysis

Dartford 26.4%
Draw 24.02%
Worthing 49.57%
Dartford
1-0 @ 6.69% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 6.62% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.91% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.58% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.53% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 26.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.31% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 5.71% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.02%
Worthing
0-1 @ 9.66% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 9.57% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.18% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 5.4% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 4.61% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.16% (-0.03)
1-4 @ 2.28% (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.95% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.34% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 49.57%