National League South | Gameweek 5

Aug 27, 2022 at 3pm UK

Princes Park

Dartford
1 - 2
Worthing

Essam (9')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kealy (51'), Colbran (90+5')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Dartford and Worthing.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 49.57%. A win for Dartford had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.57%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Dartford win was 1-0 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.

Result
Dartford	Draw	Worthing
26.4% ( -0.02)	24.02% ( 0.04)	49.57% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 56.29% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.54% (

-0.19)

45.46% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.21% (

-0.18)

67.79% (

0.19)

Dartford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.99% (

-0.11)

31.02% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.68% (

-0.14)

67.32% (

0.14)

Worthing Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.59% (

-0.08)

18.41% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.43% (

-0.14)

49.57% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Dartford 26.4%

Worthing 49.57%

Draw 24.02%

Dartford	Draw	Worthing
1-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.53% ( -0) Other @ 2.89% Total : 26.4%	1-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.02%	0-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.57% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.18% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 5.4% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.61% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.95% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.42% Total : 49.57%