Coverage of the National League South clash between Dartford and Worthing.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Taunton Town 2-1 Dartford
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in National League South
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Oxford City | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Dartford | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 11 | Hampton & Richmond | 4 | 2 | 5 |
Last Game: Worthing 0-0 Chippenham
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in National League South
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Havant & Waterlooville | 4 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | Worthing | 4 | 5 | 8 |
| 4 | Chelmsford City | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 49.57%. A win for Dartford had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.57%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Dartford win was 1-0 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dartford | Draw | Worthing |
26.4% ( -0.02) | 24.02% ( 0.04) | 49.57% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.29% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.54% ( -0.19) | 45.46% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.21% ( -0.18) | 67.79% ( 0.19) |
| Dartford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.99% ( -0.11) | 31.02% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.68% ( -0.14) | 67.32% ( 0.14) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.59% ( -0.08) | 18.41% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.43% ( -0.14) | 49.57% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
Dartford 26.4%
Worthing 49.57%
Draw 24.02%
| Dartford | Draw | Worthing |
| 1-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.53% ( -0)Other @ 2.89% Total : 26.4% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.02% | 0-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.57% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.18% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 5.4% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.61% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.95% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.42% Total : 49.57% |
