Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 64.9%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 15.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Welling United win it was 2-1 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.