National League South | Gameweek 2
Aug 13, 2022 at 3pm UK
Park View Road

Welling United
2 - 4
Worthing

Hyde (6'), Azeez (31')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Kealy (5', 57'), White (19'), Rye (26')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Welling United and Worthing.

Form, Standings, Stats

Welling United

Last Six:
Last Game: Taunton Town 0-0 Welling United
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in National League South

Worthing

Last Six:
Last Game: Worthing 1-1 Dover Athletic
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 64.9%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 15.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Welling United win it was 2-1 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.

Result
Welling UnitedDrawWorthing
15.42% (0.157 0.16)19.68% (0.174 0.17)64.9% (-0.33200000000001 -0.33)
Both teams to score 53.63% (-0.218 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.32% (-0.479 -0.48)40.68% (0.478 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.94% (-0.492 -0.49)63.06% (0.491 0.49)
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.8% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)39.2% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.09% (-0.083000000000002 -0.08)75.91% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.21% (-0.23 -0.23)11.79% (0.23 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63% (-0.495 -0.49)37% (0.496 0.5)
Score Analysis
    Welling United 15.43%
    Worthing 64.89%
    Draw 19.68%
Welling UnitedDrawWorthing
2-1 @ 4.33% (0.034 0.03)
1-0 @ 4.33% (0.084 0.08)
2-0 @ 2.03% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.45% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.35% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 15.43%
1-1 @ 9.26% (0.096 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 4.62% (0.1 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 19.68%
0-2 @ 10.56% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.89% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 9.88% (0.126 0.13)
0-3 @ 7.53% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-3 @ 7.05% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-4 @ 4.02% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-4 @ 3.77% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.3% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.76% (-0.035 -0.03)
0-5 @ 1.72% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-5 @ 1.61% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 64.89%