Weymouth
National League South | Gameweek 3
Aug 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Bob Lucas Stadium

Weymouth
0 - 3
Worthing

FT(HT: 0-1)
Colbran (40'), Pearce (70', 81')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Weymouth and Worthing.

Form, Standings, Stats

Weymouth

Last Six:
Last Game: Weymouth 2-3 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in National League South

Worthing

Last Six:
Last Game: Welling United 2-4 Worthing
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 53.81%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 23.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.55%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 2-1 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.

Result
WeymouthDrawWorthing
23.88% (4.833 4.83)22.31% (1.75 1.75)53.81% (-6.58 -6.58)
Both teams to score 59.46% (1.157 1.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.95% (-1.818 -1.82)40.05% (1.823 1.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.59% (-1.907 -1.91)62.41% (1.913 1.91)
Weymouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.87% (3.394 3.39)30.13% (-3.388 -3.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.72% (3.887 3.89)66.28% (-3.882 -3.88)
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.1% (-2.6 -2.6)14.9% (2.606 2.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.73% (-5.2 -5.2)43.27% (5.204 5.2)
Score Analysis
    Weymouth 23.88%
    Worthing 53.81%
    Draw 22.31%
WeymouthDrawWorthing
2-1 @ 6.15% (0.991 0.99)
1-0 @ 5.39% (0.882 0.88)
2-0 @ 3.23% (0.769 0.77)
3-1 @ 2.46% (0.58 0.58)
3-2 @ 2.34% (0.371 0.37)
3-0 @ 1.29% (0.395 0.4)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 23.88%
1-1 @ 10.25% (0.808 0.81)
2-2 @ 5.85% (0.446 0.45)
0-0 @ 4.49% (0.368 0.37)
3-3 @ 1.49% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.31%
1-2 @ 9.76% (-0.135 -0.14)
0-1 @ 8.55% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 8.14% (-0.917 -0.92)
1-3 @ 6.19% (-0.72 -0.72)
0-3 @ 5.16% (-1.161 -1.16)
2-3 @ 3.72% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-4 @ 2.95% (-0.675 -0.68)
0-4 @ 2.46% (-0.857 -0.86)
2-4 @ 1.77% (-0.212 -0.21)
1-5 @ 1.12% (-0.396 -0.4)
0-5 @ 0.94% (-0.454 -0.45)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 53.81%

rhs 2.0


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