National League South Gameweek 3
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Bob Lucas Stadium
  • goal Joel Colbran 40'
  • goal Ollie Pearce 70'
  • goal Ollie Pearce 81'

Weymouth vs Worthing - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Weymouth

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Aug 13, 2022 3.00pm
Weymouth 2 - 3 Ebbsfleet
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Bradley Ash

Worthing

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Aug 13, 2022 3.00pm
Welling United 2 - 4 Worthing
Goals scored
94
Top scorer
Ollie Pearce

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 53.81%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 23.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.55%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 2-1 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.

Result

Weymouth 23.88% (+4.84)
Draw 22.31% (+1.75)
Worthing 53.81% (-6.59)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.46% (+1.16)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.95% (-1.82)
Under 2.5 40.05% (+1.83)
Over 3.5 37.59% (-1.91)
Under 3.5 62.41% (+1.92)

Weymouth Goals

Over 0.5 69.87% (+3.40)
Under 0.5 30.13% (-3.39)
Over 1.5 33.72% (+3.89)
Under 1.5 66.28% (-3.89)

Worthing Goals

Over 0.5 85.1% (-2.60)
Under 0.5 14.9% (+2.61)
Over 1.5 56.73% (-5.20)
Under 1.5 43.27% (+5.21)

Score analysis

Weymouth 23.88%
Draw 22.31%
Worthing 53.81%
Weymouth
2-1 @ 6.15% (+1.00)
1-0 @ 5.39% (+0.89)
2-0 @ 3.23% (+0.77)
3-1 @ 2.46% (+0.59)
3-2 @ 2.34% (+0.38)
3-0 @ 1.29% (-88.41)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 23.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.25% (+0.81)
2-2 @ 5.85% (+0.45)
0-0 @ 4.49% (+0.37)
3-3 @ 1.49% (+0.11)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.31%
Worthing
1-2 @ 9.76% (-0.14)
0-1 @ 8.55% (-0.10)
0-2 @ 8.14% (-0.92)
1-3 @ 6.19% (-0.73)
0-3 @ 5.16% (-1.17)
2-3 @ 3.72% (-0.07)
1-4 @ 2.95% (-0.68)
0-4 @ 2.46% (-0.86)
2-4 @ 1.77% (-0.22)
1-5 @ 1.12% (-0.40)
Other @ 4%
Total : 53.81%