Weymouth
National League South | Gameweek 2
Aug 13, 2022 at 3pm UK
Bob Lucas Stadium
Ebbsfleet United

Weymouth
2 - 3
Ebbsfleet

Bearwish (34'), Ash (76')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Poleon (3'), Tanner (49', 90+10')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Weymouth and Ebbsfleet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Weymouth

Last Six:
Last Game: Weymouth 1-3 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in National League South

Ebbsfleet

Last Six:
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 3-0 Chippenham
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 50.08%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.

Result
WeymouthDrawEbbsfleet
26.48% (5.799 5.8)23.44% (1.692 1.69)50.08% (-7.488 -7.49)
Both teams to score 58.33% (1.388 1.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.22% (-1.469 -1.47)42.78% (1.473 1.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.82% (-1.475 -1.48)65.18% (1.477 1.48)
Weymouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.45% (4.141 4.14)29.55% (-4.138 -4.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.43% (4.769 4.77)65.57% (-4.767 -4.77)
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.8% (-3.072 -3.07)17.2% (3.076 3.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.53% (-5.705 -5.71)47.47% (5.708 5.71)
Score Analysis
    Weymouth 26.48%
    Ebbsfleet 50.08%
    Draw 23.43%
WeymouthDrawEbbsfleet
2-1 @ 6.65% (1.135 1.14)
1-0 @ 6.2% (1.019 1.02)
2-0 @ 3.78% (0.961 0.96)
3-1 @ 2.7% (0.702 0.7)
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.421 0.42)
3-0 @ 1.54% (0.513 0.51)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 26.48%
1-1 @ 10.9% (0.77 0.77)
2-2 @ 5.85% (0.457 0.46)
0-0 @ 5.08% (0.324 0.32)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.118 0.12)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.43%
1-2 @ 9.6% (-0.317 -0.32)
0-1 @ 8.95% (-0.366 -0.37)
0-2 @ 7.87% (-1.239 -1.24)
1-3 @ 5.63% (-0.837 -0.84)
0-3 @ 4.62% (-1.326 -1.33)
2-3 @ 3.43% (-0.086 -0.09)
1-4 @ 2.48% (-0.687 -0.69)
0-4 @ 2.03% (-0.877 -0.88)
2-4 @ 1.51% (-0.212 -0.21)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 50.08%

rhs 2.0


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