National League South | Gameweek 38
Apr 18, 2022 at 3pm UK
Thames Road
Concord Rangers1 - 2Ebbsfleet
Coverage of the National League South clash between Concord Rangers and Ebbsfleet.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Concord Rangers 2-1 Welling United
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Slough Town | 40 | -18 | 49 |
| 14 | Concord Rangers | 40 | -19 | 49 |
| 15 | Hemel Hempstead Town | 40 | -23 | 48 |
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 2-1 Chelmsford City
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Dorking Wanderers | 40 | 48 | 81 |
| 3 | Ebbsfleet | 40 | 25 | 76 |
| 4 | Dartford | 40 | 33 | 74 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 57.19%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 21.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.08%) and 0-2 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Concord Rangers win it was 2-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Ebbsfleet in this match.
| Result | ||
| Concord Rangers | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
| 21.08% | 21.73% | 57.19% |
| Both teams to score 57.65% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
