National League South | Gameweek 41
May 2, 2022 at 3pm UK
New Lodge
Ebbsfleet United

Billericay
1 - 2
Ebbsfleet

Akinwande (27')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Martin (57'), Tanner (89')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Billericay Town and Ebbsfleet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Billericay Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Braintree 0-1 Billericay
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South

Ebbsfleet

Last Six:
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 2-1 Chelmsford City
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 65.49%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Billericay Town had a probability of 15.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.87%) and 0-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Billericay Town win it was 2-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.

Result
Billericay TownDrawEbbsfleet
15.14%19.37%65.49%
Both teams to score 54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.16%39.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.8%62.2%
Billericay Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.94%39.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.22%75.78%
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.61%11.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.87%36.13%
Score Analysis
    Billericay Town 15.14%
    Ebbsfleet 65.48%
    Draw 19.37%
Billericay TownDrawEbbsfleet
2-1 @ 4.27%
1-0 @ 4.18%
2-0 @ 1.97%
3-2 @ 1.45%
3-1 @ 1.34%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 15.14%
1-1 @ 9.09%
2-2 @ 4.64%
0-0 @ 4.45%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 19.37%
0-2 @ 10.49%
1-2 @ 9.87%
0-1 @ 9.66%
0-3 @ 7.6%
1-3 @ 7.15%
0-4 @ 4.13%
1-4 @ 3.88%
2-3 @ 3.36%
2-4 @ 1.83%
0-5 @ 1.8%
1-5 @ 1.69%
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 65.48%

Head to Head
Dec 28, 2021 3pm
Ebbsfleet
0-0
Billericay
Apr 5, 2021 3pm
Ebbsfleet
0-0
Billericay
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
Billericay
1-2
Ebbsfleet
Robinson (68')
Taylor (17'), Paxman (33')