National League South | Gameweek 42

May 7, 2022 at 3pm UK

Stonebridge Road

Ebbsfleet
2 - 1
Chelmsford City

Jombarti (50'), Bingham (55')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Sheringham (72')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Ebbsfleet and Chelmsford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ebbsfleet

Last Six:

Last Game: Ebbsfleet 2-1 Chelmsford City
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Dorking Wanderers	40	48	81
3	Ebbsfleet	40	25	76
4	Dartford	40	33	74

Chelmsford City

Last Six:

Last Game: Ebbsfleet 2-1 Chelmsford City
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Bath City	40	-23	45
19	Chelmsford City	40	-7	41
20	Welling United	40	-41	38

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 63.69%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 16.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 1-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Chelmsford City win it was 1-2 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.

Result
Ebbsfleet	Draw	Chelmsford City
63.69%	20.04%	16.26%

Both teams to score 54.35%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.3%

40.69%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.92%

63.08%

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.87%

12.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.28%

37.71%

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.85%

38.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.09%

74.91%

Score Analysis

Ebbsfleet 63.69%

Chelmsford City 16.26%

Draw 20.04%

Ebbsfleet	Draw	Chelmsford City
2-0 @ 10.29% 2-1 @ 9.92% 1-0 @ 9.76% 3-0 @ 7.24% 3-1 @ 6.98% 4-0 @ 3.82% 4-1 @ 3.68% 3-2 @ 3.36% 4-2 @ 1.77% 5-0 @ 1.61% 5-1 @ 1.55% Other @ 3.69% Total : 63.69%	1-1 @ 9.41% 2-2 @ 4.78% 0-0 @ 4.63% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.04%	1-2 @ 4.53% 0-1 @ 4.46% 0-2 @ 2.15% 2-3 @ 1.54% 1-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.13% Total : 16.26%