National League South | Gameweek 40
Apr 30, 2022 at 3pm UK
Gallagher Stadium
Maidstone3 - 1Chelmsford City
Coverage of the National League South clash between Maidstone United and Chelmsford City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Maidstone 2-1 Hampton
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Maidstone United | 40 | 42 | 87 |
| 2 | Dorking Wanderers | 40 | 48 | 81 |
| 3 | Ebbsfleet | 40 | 25 | 76 |
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 2-1 Chelmsford City
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Bath City | 40 | -23 | 45 |
| 19 | Chelmsford City | 40 | -7 | 41 |
| 20 | Welling United | 40 | -41 | 38 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidstone United win with a probability of 65.92%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 13.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidstone United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.71%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Chelmsford City win it was 0-1 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maidstone United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maidstone United | Draw | Chelmsford City |
| 65.92% | 20.09% | 13.99% |
| Both teams to score 48.55% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.45% | 45.55% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.12% | 67.88% |
| Maidstone United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.04% | 12.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.55% | 39.45% |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.78% | 44.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.7% | 80.3% |
| Score Analysis |
Maidstone United 65.92%
Chelmsford City 13.99%
Draw 20.09%
| Maidstone United | Draw | Chelmsford City |
| 2-0 @ 11.96% 1-0 @ 11.71% 2-1 @ 9.76% 3-0 @ 8.15% 3-1 @ 6.65% 4-0 @ 4.16% 4-1 @ 3.4% 3-2 @ 2.71% 5-0 @ 1.7% 5-1 @ 1.39% 4-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.94% Total : 65.92% | 1-1 @ 9.56% 0-0 @ 5.73% 2-2 @ 3.98% Other @ 0.82% Total : 20.09% | 0-1 @ 4.68% 1-2 @ 3.9% 0-2 @ 1.91% 2-3 @ 1.08% 1-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.36% Total : 13.99% |
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Oct 24, 2020 3pm
Chelmsford City
1-0
Maidstone
Morgan (49' pen.)
Apr 13, 2020 3pm
Form Guide


