Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Chelmsford City	Draw	Tonbridge Angels
43.57%	25.98%	30.45%

Both teams to score 52.73%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.59%

51.4%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.78%

73.22%

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.53%

23.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.52%

57.48%

Tonbridge Angels Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.89%

31.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.57%

67.43%

Score Analysis

Chelmsford City 43.57%

Tonbridge Angels 30.45%

Draw 25.97%

Chelmsford City	Draw	Tonbridge Angels
1-0 @ 10.58% 2-1 @ 8.96% 2-0 @ 7.67% 3-1 @ 4.33% 3-0 @ 3.71% 3-2 @ 2.53% 4-1 @ 1.57% 4-0 @ 1.34% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.98% Total : 43.57%	1-1 @ 12.35% 0-0 @ 7.3% 2-2 @ 5.23% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.97%	0-1 @ 8.52% 1-2 @ 7.22% 0-2 @ 4.98% 1-3 @ 2.81% 2-3 @ 2.04% 0-3 @ 1.94% Other @ 2.95% Total : 30.45%