National League South | Gameweek 30

Mar 5, 2022 at 3pm UK

West Leigh Park

Havant & W'ville
2 - 1
Chelmsford City

Wall (52'), Payne (70' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-0)

Blackwell (74')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Havant & Waterlooville and Chelmsford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Havant & Waterlooville

Last Six:

Last Game: Havant & W'ville 0-2 Chippenham
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Chippenham Town	40	11	59
8	Havant & Waterlooville	40	3	57
9	St Albans City	40	-3	52

Chelmsford City

Last Six:

Last Game: Ebbsfleet 2-1 Chelmsford City
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Bath City	40	-23	45
19	Chelmsford City	40	-7	41
20	Welling United	40	-41	38

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.59%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Havant & Waterlooville in this match.

Result
Havant & Waterlooville	Draw	Chelmsford City
45.83%	23.34%	30.84%

Both teams to score 61.96%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.59%

39.42%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.25%

61.76%

Havant & Waterlooville Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.46%

17.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.93%

48.07%

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.14%

24.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.53%

59.47%

Score Analysis

Havant & Waterlooville 45.83%

Chelmsford City 30.84%

Draw 23.33%

Havant & Waterlooville	Draw	Chelmsford City
2-1 @ 9.2% 1-0 @ 7.59% 2-0 @ 6.61% 3-1 @ 5.34% 3-0 @ 3.83% 3-2 @ 3.71% 4-1 @ 2.32% 4-0 @ 1.67% 4-2 @ 1.62% Other @ 3.94% Total : 45.83%	1-1 @ 10.56% 2-2 @ 6.4% 0-0 @ 4.36% 3-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.33%	1-2 @ 7.35% 0-1 @ 6.07% 0-2 @ 4.22% 1-3 @ 3.41% 2-3 @ 2.97% 0-3 @ 1.96% 1-4 @ 1.19% 2-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.64% Total : 30.84%