Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.22%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-2 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Hemel Hempstead Town	Draw	Chelmsford City
43.65%	23.4%	32.95%

Both teams to score 62.75%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.2%

38.8%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.89%

61.11%

Hemel Hempstead Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.84%

18.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.85%

49.15%

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.68%

23.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.73%

57.27%

Score Analysis

Hemel Hempstead Town 43.65%

Chelmsford City 32.95%

Draw 23.39%

Hemel Hempstead Town	Draw	Chelmsford City
2-1 @ 8.97% 1-0 @ 7.22% 2-0 @ 6.16% 3-1 @ 5.1% 3-2 @ 3.71% 3-0 @ 3.5% 4-1 @ 2.18% 4-2 @ 1.58% 4-0 @ 1.49% Other @ 3.73% Total : 43.65%	1-1 @ 10.51% 2-2 @ 6.53% 0-0 @ 4.24% 3-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.39%	1-2 @ 7.66% 0-1 @ 6.17% 0-2 @ 4.49% 1-3 @ 3.72% 2-3 @ 3.17% 0-3 @ 2.18% 1-4 @ 1.35% 2-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.07% Total : 32.95%