National League South | Gameweek 14
Nov 13, 2021 at 3pm UK
Melbourne Stadium

Chelmsford City
1 - 2
Hemel Hempstead

Olowu (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cerulli (11'), Fasanmade (55')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Hemel Hempstead Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Hemel Hempstead Town in this match.

Result
Chelmsford CityDrawHemel Hempstead Town
34.43%24.55%41.03%
Both teams to score 59.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.14%43.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.75%66.25%
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.13%24.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.53%59.47%
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.57%21.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.56%54.44%
Score Analysis
    Chelmsford City 34.43%
    Hemel Hempstead Town 41.03%
    Draw 24.54%
Chelmsford CityDrawHemel Hempstead Town
2-1 @ 7.95%
1-0 @ 7.42%
2-0 @ 5.16%
3-1 @ 3.69%
3-2 @ 2.84%
3-0 @ 2.39%
4-1 @ 1.28%
4-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 34.43%
1-1 @ 11.42%
2-2 @ 6.12%
0-0 @ 5.33%
3-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.54%
1-2 @ 8.8%
0-1 @ 8.21%
0-2 @ 6.32%
1-3 @ 4.52%
0-3 @ 3.25%
2-3 @ 3.14%
1-4 @ 1.74%
0-4 @ 1.25%
2-4 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 41.03%