Ebbsfleet United
National League South | Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2022 at 3pm UK
Fuling Stadium

Ebbsfleet
3 - 0
Chippenham

Cundle (28'), Edser (67'), McQueen (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Ebbsfleet and Chippenham Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ebbsfleet

Last Six:
    Last Game: Ebbsfleet 2-1 Chelmsford City
    Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South

    Chippenham Town

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Havant & W'ville 0-2 Chippenham
      Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 58.14%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 18.77%.

      The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Chippenham Town win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.

      Result
      EbbsfleetDrawChippenham Town
      58.14% (0.432 0.43)23.09% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)18.77% (-0.429 -0.43)
      Both teams to score 49.43% (-0.716 -0.72)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      50.25% (-0.585 -0.59)49.74% (0.585 0.59)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      28.24% (-0.525 -0.52)71.75% (0.524 0.52)
      Ebbsfleet Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      83.17% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)16.83% (0.055 0.05)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      53.18% (-0.101 -0.1)46.81% (0.101 0.1)
      Chippenham Town Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      59.43% (-0.823 -0.82)40.57% (0.823 0.82)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      22.83% (-0.752 -0.75)77.17% (0.752 0.75)
      Score Analysis
          Ebbsfleet 58.14%
          Chippenham Town 18.77%
          Draw 23.08%
      EbbsfleetDrawChippenham Town
      1-0 @ 12.16% (0.26 0.26)
      2-0 @ 10.84% (0.22 0.22)
      2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.023 -0.02)
      3-0 @ 6.44% (0.116 0.12)
      3-1 @ 5.81% (-0.024 -0.02)
      4-0 @ 2.87% (0.047 0.05)
      3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.071 -0.07)
      4-1 @ 2.59% (-0.016 -0.02)
      4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.034 -0.03)
      5-0 @ 1.02% (0.015 0.01)
      5-1 @ 0.92% (-0.007 -0.01)
      Other @ 1.91%
      Total : 58.14%
      		1-1 @ 10.97% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
      0-0 @ 6.83% (0.161 0.16)
      2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.111 -0.11)
      Other @ 0.87%
      Total : 23.08%
      		0-1 @ 6.16% (0.008 0.01)
      1-2 @ 4.95% (-0.115 -0.12)
      0-2 @ 2.78% (-0.059 -0.06)
      1-3 @ 1.49% (-0.069 -0.07)
      2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.064 -0.06)
      Other @ 2.07%
      Total : 18.77%

      Head to Head
      Apr 30, 2022 3pm
      Ebbsfleet
      2-2
      Chippenham
      Romain (51'), Solly (77')
      Hanks (29'), Richards (61')
      Sep 28, 2021 7.45pm
      Chippenham
      2-5
      Ebbsfleet
      Hanks (39'), Parselle (69')
      Cundle (21'), Poleon (26', 59', 61'), Paxman (83')
      Apr 24, 2021 3pm
      Ebbsfleet
      P-P
      Chippenham
      Nov 14, 2020 3pm
      Chippenham
      1-2
      Ebbsfleet
      Ash (12')
      Goodman (53', 82')