National League South | Gameweek 4

Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK

Vauxhall Ground

Hemel Hempstead
2 - 3
Welling United

Castiglione (2'), Greenidge (45' pen.)

FT(HT: 2-0)

Payne (50' pen., 55'), Papadopoulos (54')
Olomowewe (66')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Hemel Hempstead Town and Welling United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 47.73%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Welling United win was 0-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Hemel Hempstead Town	Draw	Welling United
47.73% ( -0.45)	24.57% ( 0.01)	27.7% ( 0.44)

Both teams to score 55.56% (

0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.08% (

0.27)

46.92% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.83% (

0.25)

69.17% (

-0.25)

Hemel Hempstead Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.28% (

-0.08)

19.73% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.26% (

-0.13)

51.74% (

0.13)

Welling United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.21% (

0.47)

30.79% (

-0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.94% (

0.55)

67.07% (

-0.55)

Score Analysis

Hemel Hempstead Town 47.73%

Welling United 27.7%

Draw 24.57%

Hemel Hempstead Town	Draw	Welling United
1-0 @ 9.86% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.96% Total : 47.73%	1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.57%	0-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.84% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.97% Total : 27.7%