National League South Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Vauxhall Road (Hemel Hempstead, Hertfordshire)
  • Jordan Greenidge 25' goal

Hemel Hempstead Town vs Farnborough Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hemel Hempstead Town

All competitions
National League South
Last game
May 7, 2022 3.00pm
Dulwich Hamlet 2 - 1 Hemel Hemps.
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Josh Castiglione

Farnborough Town

All competitions
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Mason Bloomfield

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 36.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result

Hemel Hempstead Town 36.05% (+1.05)
Draw 25.31% (+0.20)
Farnborough Town 38.65% (-1.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.61% (-0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.88% (-0.76)
Under 2.5 47.12% (+0.76)
Over 3.5 30.64% (-0.71)
Under 3.5 69.36% (+0.71)

Hemel Hempstead Town Goals

Over 0.5 74.53% (+0.25)
Under 0.5 25.47% (-0.25)
Over 1.5 39.7% (+0.34)
Under 1.5 60.31% (-0.34)

Farnborough Town Goals

Over 0.5 75.95% (-0.97)
Under 0.5 24.05% (+0.98)
Over 1.5 41.68% (-1.41)
Under 1.5 58.33% (+1.41)

Score analysis

Hemel Hempstead Town 36.05%
Draw 25.3%
Farnborough Town 38.65%
Hemel Hempstead Town
1-0 @ 8.38% (+0.32)
2-1 @ 8.16% (+0.14)
2-0 @ 5.73% (+0.26)
3-1 @ 3.72% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.61% (+0.14)
4-1 @ 1.27% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 36.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.93% (+0.12)
0-0 @ 6.13% (+0.20)
2-2 @ 5.82% (-0.07)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.3%
Farnborough Town
0-1 @ 8.73% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 8.51% (-0.16)
0-2 @ 6.22% (-0.17)
1-3 @ 4.04% (-0.20)
0-3 @ 2.95% (-0.17)
2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.12)
1-4 @ 1.44% (-0.12)
0-4 @ 1.05% (-0.10)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 38.65%