National League South | Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2022 at 3pm UK
Vauxhall Road (Hemel Hempstead, Hertfordshire)

Hemel Hempstead
1 - 0
Farnborough Town

Greenidge (25')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Hemel Hempstead Town and Farnborough Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hemel Hempstead Town

Last Six:
    Last Game: Dulwich Hamlet 2-1 Hemel Hempstead
    Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South

    Farnborough Town

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Farnborough Town 0-3 Crystal Palace
      Monday, August 8 at 7pm in Pre-Season Friendlies

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 36.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

      The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

      Result
      Hemel Hempstead TownDrawFarnborough Town
      36.05% (1.048 1.05)25.31% (0.194 0.19)38.65% (-1.238 -1.24)
      Both teams to score 56.61% (-0.532 -0.53)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      52.88% (-0.751 -0.75)47.12% (0.756 0.76)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      30.64% (-0.701 -0.7)69.36% (0.70699999999999 0.71)
      Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      74.53% (0.249 0.25)25.47% (-0.245 -0.25)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      39.7% (0.338 0.34)60.31% (-0.333 -0.33)
      Farnborough Town Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      75.95% (-0.96900000000001 -0.97)24.05% (0.973 0.97)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      41.68% (-1.403 -1.4)58.33% (1.408 1.41)
      Score Analysis
          Hemel Hempstead Town 36.05%
          Farnborough Town 38.65%
          Draw 25.3%
      Hemel Hempstead TownDrawFarnborough Town
      1-0 @ 8.38% (0.319 0.32)
      2-1 @ 8.16% (0.139 0.14)
      2-0 @ 5.73% (0.256 0.26)
      3-1 @ 3.72% (0.089 0.09)
      3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.011 -0.01)
      3-0 @ 2.61% (0.134 0.13)
      4-1 @ 1.27% (0.04 0.04)
      4-2 @ 0.91% (0.003 0)
      Other @ 2.61%
      Total : 36.05%
      		1-1 @ 11.93% (0.12 0.12)
      0-0 @ 6.13% (0.191 0.19)
      2-2 @ 5.82% (-0.066 -0.07)
      3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.042 -0.04)
      Other @ 0.17%
      Total : 25.3%
      		0-1 @ 8.73% (0.028 0.03)
      1-2 @ 8.51% (-0.158 -0.16)
      0-2 @ 6.22% (-0.16 -0.16)
      1-3 @ 4.04% (-0.194 -0.19)
      0-3 @ 2.95% (-0.164 -0.16)
      2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.112 -0.11)
      1-4 @ 1.44% (-0.113 -0.11)
      0-4 @ 1.05% (-0.091 -0.09)
      2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.07 -0.07)
      Other @ 1.96%
      Total : 38.65%

      rhs 2.0


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