Braintree Town
National League South | Gameweek 3
Aug 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Ironmongery Direct Stadium

Braintree
3 - 1
Hemel Hempstead

Blair (32', 49'), Clemons (68')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Obi (43')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Braintree Town and Hemel Hempstead Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braintree Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Braintree 1-1 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in National League South

Hemel Hempstead Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Hampton 1-1 Hemel Hempstead
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braintree Town win with a probability of 38.17%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braintree Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braintree Town would win this match.

Result
Braintree TownDrawHemel Hempstead Town
38.17% (0.258 0.26)26.53% (0.065999999999999 0.07)35.3% (-0.331 -0.33)
Both teams to score 52.39% (-0.252 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.52% (-0.307 -0.31)52.48% (0.3 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.85% (-0.265 -0.27)74.15% (0.25800000000001 0.26)
Braintree Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.22% (0.0019999999999953 0)26.77% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.94% (0.007000000000005 0.01)62.05% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.54% (-0.351 -0.35)28.45% (0.344 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.78% (-0.441 -0.44)64.21% (0.43399999999999 0.43)
Score Analysis
    Braintree Town 38.16%
    Hemel Hempstead Town 35.3%
    Draw 26.52%
Braintree TownDrawHemel Hempstead Town
1-0 @ 10.03% (0.113 0.11)
2-1 @ 8.31% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.61% (0.081 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.65% (0.01 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.91% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 0.96% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 38.16%
1-1 @ 12.61% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.62% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.52%
0-1 @ 9.57% (0.022 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.93% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-2 @ 6.02% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.32% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.52% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 35.3%

Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Braintree
3-1
Hemel Hempstead
Da Costa (26'), Crichlow (31', 87')
Scott-Morriss (65')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Hemel Hempstead
0-3
Braintree
Holness (10', 16', 62')
Apr 5, 2021 3pm
Hemel Hempstead
0-0
Braintree
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
Braintree
3-4
Hemel Hempstead
Smyth (22'), Dunne (37'), Clements (78')
Olomowewe (20'), Bateman (42' pen.), Forrest (44' og.), Evans (45+1')
Paulin (68')
rhs 2.0


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