National League South | Gameweek 1

Aug 6, 2022 at 3pm UK

Champion Hill Stadium

Dulwich Hamlet
2 - 1
Braintree

Porter (34'), Clarke (82')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Matthews (39')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Dulwich Hamlet and Braintree Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dulwich Hamlet

Last Six:

Last Game: Dulwich Hamlet 2-1 Hemel Hempstead
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Dover Athletic	0	0	0
9	Dulwich Hamlet	0	0	0
10	Eastbourne Borough	0	0	0

Braintree Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Braintree 0-1 Billericay
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bath City	0	0	0
2	Braintree Town	0	0	0
3	Chelmsford City	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dulwich Hamlet win with a probability of 47.3%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Braintree Town had a probability of 26.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dulwich Hamlet win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.1%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Braintree Town win it was 0-1 (8.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dulwich Hamlet would win this match.

Result
Dulwich Hamlet	Draw	Braintree Town
47.3% ( 0.34)	26.65% ( -0.06)	26.05% ( -0.28)

Both teams to score 47.91% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.71% (

0.04)

56.29% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.67% (

0.04)

77.33% (

-0.04)

Dulwich Hamlet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.19% (

0.18)

23.81% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.02% (

0.26)

57.98% (

-0.26)

Braintree Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.88% (

-0.22)

37.12% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.1% (

-0.21)

73.9% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Dulwich Hamlet 47.29%

Braintree Town 26.05%

Draw 26.65%

Dulwich Hamlet	Draw	Braintree Town
1-0 @ 12.68% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.58% Total : 47.29%	1-1 @ 12.57% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.84% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.77% Total : 26.65%	0-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.75% Total : 26.05%