National League South | Gameweek 6
Aug 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
The A2B Stadium

Worthing
1 - 1
Eastbourne

Kealy (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hammond (30')
Elliott (61')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Worthing and Eastbourne Borough.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 63.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Eastbourne Borough had a probability of 16.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Eastbourne Borough win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
WorthingDrawEastbourne Borough
63.1% (-0.614 -0.61)20.72% (0.27 0.27)16.18% (0.346 0.35)
Both teams to score 51.83% (-0.109 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.07% (-0.543 -0.54)43.93% (0.547 0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.68% (-0.534 -0.53)66.31% (0.53699999999999 0.54)
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.71% (-0.346 -0.35)13.29% (0.349 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.89% (-0.708 -0.71)40.11% (0.71 0.71)
Eastbourne Borough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.78% (0.115 0.12)40.22% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.14% (0.104 0.1)76.85% (-0.101 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Worthing 63.08%
    Eastbourne Borough 16.18%
    Draw 20.72%
WorthingDrawEastbourne Borough
2-0 @ 10.88% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 10.78% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.92% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.32% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-1 @ 6.67% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-0 @ 3.7% (-0.107 -0.11)
4-1 @ 3.37% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.53% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.49% (-0.064 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.36% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 63.08%
1-1 @ 9.83% (0.135 0.14)
0-0 @ 5.35% (0.126 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.52% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 20.72%
0-1 @ 4.87% (0.129 0.13)
1-2 @ 4.47% (0.075 0.08)
0-2 @ 2.22% (0.066 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.37% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.36% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 16.18%