National League South | Gameweek 3

Aug 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Priory Lane Stadium

Eastbourne
2 - 3
Ebbsfleet

Gravata (31'), Wynter (51')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Poleon (42'), Solly (81'), O'Neill (85')
N'Guessan (90+5')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Eastbourne Borough and Ebbsfleet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 48.54%. A win for Eastbourne Borough had a probability of 28.48% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.78%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Eastbourne Borough win was 2-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.

Result
Eastbourne Borough	Draw	Ebbsfleet
28.48% ( 0.2)	22.98% ( 0.02)	48.54% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 61.65% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.85% (

0.06)

39.15% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.52% (

0.07)

61.48% (

-0.07)

Eastbourne Borough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.75% (

0.17)

26.25% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.64% (

0.22)

61.36% (

-0.22)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.59% (

-0.05)

16.41% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.93% (

-0.1)

46.07% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Eastbourne Borough 28.48%

Ebbsfleet 48.54%

Draw 22.98%

Eastbourne Borough	Draw	Ebbsfleet
2-1 @ 6.96% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 28.48%	1-1 @ 10.41% 2-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.98%	1-2 @ 9.41% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 7.03% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 5.67% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.24% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.79% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.56% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.92% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.71% ( -0) 1-5 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.5% Total : 48.54%