National League South | Gameweek 38

Apr 18, 2022 at 3pm UK

West Leigh Park

Havant & W'ville
3 - 0
Eastbourne

McCarthy (81'), Duku (85', 90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the National League South clash between Havant & Waterlooville and Eastbourne Borough.

Form, Standings, Stats

Havant & Waterlooville

Last Six:

Last Game: Havant & W'ville 0-2 Chippenham
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Chippenham Town	40	11	59
8	Havant & Waterlooville	40	3	57
9	St Albans City	40	-3	52

Eastbourne Borough

Last Six:

Last Game: Eastbourne 2-7 Dartford
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Oxford City	40	25	69
6	Eastbourne Borough	40	6	60
7	Chippenham Town	40	11	59

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 53.56%. A win for Eastbourne Borough had a probability of 23.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Eastbourne Borough win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Havant & Waterlooville would win this match.

Result
Havant & Waterlooville	Draw	Eastbourne Borough
53.56%	22.46%	23.98%

Both teams to score 59.08%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.4%

40.6%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.01%

62.99%

Havant & Waterlooville Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.82%

15.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.21%

43.79%

Eastbourne Borough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.65%

30.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.46%

66.54%

Score Analysis

Havant & Waterlooville 53.56%

Eastbourne Borough 23.98%

Draw 22.45%

Havant & Waterlooville	Draw	Eastbourne Borough
2-1 @ 9.76% 1-0 @ 8.69% 2-0 @ 8.19% 3-1 @ 6.14% 3-0 @ 5.15% 3-2 @ 3.66% 4-1 @ 2.89% 4-0 @ 2.43% 4-2 @ 1.72% 5-1 @ 1.09% 5-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.94% Total : 53.56%	1-1 @ 10.35% 2-2 @ 5.82% 0-0 @ 4.61% 3-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.45%	1-2 @ 6.17% 0-1 @ 5.49% 0-2 @ 3.27% 1-3 @ 2.45% 2-3 @ 2.31% 0-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.97% Total : 23.98%