National League South | Gameweek 4

Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK

Bulpit Lane

Hungerford
2 - 0
Eastbourne

Rollinson (6'), Tyler (50')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the National League South clash between Hungerford Town and Eastbourne Borough.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hungerford Town

Last Six:

Last Game: St Albans City 0-0 Hungerford
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League South

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
19	St Albans City	3	-1	2
20	Hungerford Town	3	-2	1
21	Taunton Town	3	-2	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungerford Town win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Eastbourne Borough had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hungerford Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Eastbourne Borough win was 0-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hungerford Town would win this match.

Result
Hungerford Town	Draw	Eastbourne Borough
39.87% ( 0.05)	25.12% ( 0.05)	35.01% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 57.12% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.61% (

-0.27)

46.39% (

0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.32% (

-0.25)

68.68% (

0.25)

Hungerford Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.9% (

-0.09)

23.1% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.05% (

-0.13)

56.95% (

0.14)

Eastbourne Borough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.28% (

-0.19)

25.72% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.35% (

-0.26)

60.65% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Hungerford Town 39.87%

Eastbourne Borough 35.01%

Draw 25.12%

Hungerford Town	Draw	Eastbourne Borough
1-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.14% 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.16% Total : 39.87%	1-1 @ 11.82% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.12%	0-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.03% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.48% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.53% Total : 35.01%