National League South | Gameweek 7
Sep 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
Clarence Park

St Albans City
0 - 1
Worthing

FT(HT: 0-0)
White (86')
Coverage of the National League South clash between St Albans City and Worthing.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Albans City

Last Six:
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 1-2 St Albans City
Monday, August 29 at 3pm in National League South

Worthing

Last Six:
Last Game: Worthing 1-1 Eastbourne
Monday, August 29 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for St Albans City had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest St Albans City win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Worthing in this match.

Result
St Albans CityDrawWorthing
31.46% (-0.389 -0.39)25.81% (0.31 0.31)42.73% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 53.72% (-1.186 -1.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.67% (-1.468 -1.47)50.33% (1.468 1.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.72% (-1.315 -1.32)72.27% (1.316 1.32)
St Albans City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.13% (-0.991 -0.99)29.86% (0.991 0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.04% (-1.214 -1.21)65.95% (1.215 1.21)
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.59% (-0.598 -0.6)23.41% (0.599 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.6% (-0.877 -0.88)57.4% (0.877 0.88)
Score Analysis
    St Albans City 31.46%
    Worthing 42.73%
    Draw 25.8%
St Albans CityDrawWorthing
1-0 @ 8.45% (0.268 0.27)
2-1 @ 7.41% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-0 @ 5.11% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.99% (-0.124 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.131 -0.13)
3-0 @ 2.06% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 0.9% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 31.46%
1-1 @ 12.26% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 6.99% (0.405 0.41)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.169 -0.17)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.8%
0-1 @ 10.15% (0.417 0.42)
1-2 @ 8.91% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.37% (0.177 0.18)
1-3 @ 4.31% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-3 @ 3.57% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.61% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-4 @ 1.57% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.3% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 42.73%

rhs 2.0


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