Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 46.42%. A win for St Albans City had a probability of 28.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (8.22%). The likeliest St Albans City win was 1-0 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Oxford City in this match.