National League South | Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns

Chelmsford City
1 - 1
St Albans City

Aransibia (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Wiltshire (61')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and St Albans City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelmsford City

Last Six:
    Last Game: Ebbsfleet 2-1 Chelmsford City
    Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South

    St Albans City

    Last Six:
      Last Game: St Albans City 2-3 Tonbridge Angels
      Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for St Albans City had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

      The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest St Albans City win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

      Result
      Chelmsford CityDrawSt Albans City
      39.98% (0.692 0.69)26.46% (0.314 0.31)33.56% (-1.004 -1)
      Both teams to score 52.32% (-1.223 -1.22)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      47.56% (-1.474 -1.47)52.43% (1.476 1.48)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      25.89% (-1.28 -1.28)74.11% (1.28 1.28)
      Chelmsford City Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      74.24% (-0.30200000000001 -0.3)25.76% (0.305 0.31)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      39.3% (-0.414 -0.41)60.69% (0.415 0.41)
      St Albans City Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      70.47% (-1.353 -1.35)29.52% (1.355 1.36)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      34.46% (-1.683 -1.68)65.54% (1.685 1.69)
      Score Analysis
          Chelmsford City 39.97%
          St Albans City 33.56%
          Draw 26.45%
      Chelmsford CityDrawSt Albans City
      1-0 @ 10.31% (0.5 0.5)
      2-1 @ 8.54% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
      2-0 @ 7% (0.284 0.28)
      3-1 @ 3.86% (-0.02 -0.02)
      3-0 @ 3.16% (0.101 0.1)
      3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.103 -0.1)
      4-1 @ 1.31% (-0.018 -0.02)
      4-0 @ 1.07% (0.026 0.03)
      Other @ 2.37%
      Total : 39.97%
      		1-1 @ 12.58% (0.16 0.16)
      0-0 @ 7.6% (0.434 0.43)
      2-2 @ 5.21% (-0.18 -0.18)
      3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.081 -0.08)
      Other @ 0.11%
      Total : 26.45%
      		0-1 @ 9.28% (0.194 0.19)
      1-2 @ 7.68% (-0.198 -0.2)
      0-2 @ 5.66% (-0.095 -0.09)
      1-3 @ 3.12% (-0.203 -0.2)
      0-3 @ 2.3% (-0.129 -0.13)
      2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.158 -0.16)
      1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.101 -0.1)
      Other @ 2.46%
      Total : 33.56%

      Head to Head
      Apr 15, 2022 3pm
      St Albans City
      0-3
      Chelmsford City
      Sheringham (15'), James (26'), Dunne (61')
      Jan 17, 2022 7.45pm
      Chelmsford City
      1-1
      St Albans City
      Jackson (79')
      Jeffers (36')
      May 14, 2021 7.45pm
      Chelmsford City
      0-0
      St Albans City
      Jan 9, 2021 3pm
      St Albans City
      0-2
      Chelmsford City
      Sheringham (33'), Morgan (42')
      Mar 28, 2020 3pm
      Chelmsford City
      P-P
      St Albans City